Cycle Peak Moved to 2014: ACT

ACT Research has shifted its long-term forecast for the commercial vehicle industry, adjusting the cycle peak downward for in 2013, with stronger demand now stretching through 2014.

The forecast is included in the March issue of the ACT North American Commercial Vehicle OUTLOOK.

“We believe that the economy should still be growing and generating freight in 2014,” said Kenny Vieth, ACT’s president & senior analyst. “There is a wide gap between new and used truck prices in a credit constrained market. This suggests that the cyclical peak we would expect to see in 2013 is likely to be muted.

“Assuming the economy continues to expand, the commercial vehicle cycle is likely to stretch longer than what we would typically expect.”

Related content: Class 5-8 Net Orders Down Slightly in February: ACT

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